Target Price Playground
PG
$145.16
๐ข
PG IV: 24.1% โ LOW
(-42.0% vs 30d avg of 41.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $130 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $145 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.65 ยท ฮ -0.46
SHORT PUT ยท $135 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.37 ยท ฮ -0.23
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PG hits $130 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$672 (204.9%) on $328 risked, vs $-1,516 (-10.4%) for 100 shares on $14,516. Options give 19.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PG is at $130. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PG hits $130 by Jun 19
+$672
+204.9% on $328 risked
Max Profit
+$672
If the stock โค $135 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$328
Net debit
Break-even
$141.72
-2.37% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
29%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-22.84 / -0.81 / 4.35
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PG Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $116 (-20%) | +$629 | +$653 | +$668 | +$672 |
| $123 (-15%) | +$552 | +$597 | +$648 | +$672 |
| $130 (-10%) โ target | +$422 | +$471 | +$550 | +$672 |
| $138 (-5%) | +$213 | +$229 | +$258 | +$382 |
| $142 (-2%) | +$92 | +$83 | +$60 | -$54 |
| $145 (0%) โ spot | +$17 | -$7 | -$57 | -$328 |
| $148 (+2%) | -$52 | -$86 | -$152 | -$328 |
| $152 (+5%) | -$138 | -$180 | -$247 | -$328 |
| $160 (+10%) | -$237 | -$273 | -$312 | -$328 |
| $167 (+15%) | -$290 | -$311 | -$326 | -$328 |
| $174 (+20%) | -$314 | -$324 | -$328 | -$328 |
Uses PG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.