Target Price Playground
PG
$145.16
๐ข
PG IV: 24.1% โ LOW
(-42.0% vs 30d avg of 41.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $155 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $145.16 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $155 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.94 ยท ฮ 0.26
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PG hits $155 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$1,178 (8.2%) on $14,322 risked, vs +$984 (6.8%) for 100 shares on $14,516. Options give 1.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PG is at $155. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PG hits $155 by Jun 19
+$1,178
+8.2% on $14,322 risked
Max Profit
+$1,178
If the stock โฅ $155 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$14,322
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$143.22
-1.34% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
49%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
73.71 / 3.54 / -23.04
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PG Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $116 (-20%) | -$2,710 | -$2,709 | -$2,709 | -$2,709 |
| $123 (-15%) | -$1,989 | -$1,984 | -$1,983 | -$1,983 |
| $131 (-10%) | -$1,288 | -$1,267 | -$1,258 | -$1,258 |
| $138 (-5%) | -$632 | -$579 | -$540 | -$532 |
| $142 (-2%) | -$279 | -$199 | -$126 | -$96 |
| $145 (0%) โ spot | -$66 | +$31 | +$132 | +$194 |
| $148 (+2%) | +$127 | +$239 | +$366 | +$484 |
| $152 (+5%) | +$377 | +$504 | +$661 | +$920 |
| $155 (+7%) โ target | +$501 | +$632 | +$796 | +$1,178 |
| $160 (+10%) | +$683 | +$813 | +$970 | +$1,178 |
| $167 (+15%) | +$869 | +$979 | +$1,094 | +$1,178 |
| $174 (+20%) | +$970 | +$1,053 | +$1,127 | +$1,178 |
Uses PG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.