Target Price Playground
PG
$145.16
๐ข
PG IV: 24.1% โ LOW
(-42.0% vs 30d avg of 41.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $140 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $145 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.7 ยท ฮ -0.45
SHORT PUT ยท $140 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.7 ยท ฮ -0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PG hits $140 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$356 (118.6%) on $300 risked, vs $-516 (-3.6%) for 100 shares on $14,516. Options give 32.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PG is at $140. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PG hits $140 by Jun 19
+$356
+118.6% on $300 risked
Max Profit
+$347
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$300
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$146.69
+1.06% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
72%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-11.73 / 0.74 / 5.48
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PG Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $116 (-20%) | +$151 | +$153 | +$151 | +$150 |
| $123 (-15%) | +$149 | +$158 | +$161 | +$152 |
| $131 (-10%) | +$126 | +$149 | +$176 | +$172 |
| $138 (-5%) | +$72 | +$98 | +$144 | +$273 |
| $140 (-4%) โ target | +$50 | +$74 | +$117 | +$333 |
| $142 (-2%) | +$25 | +$45 | +$80 | +$190 |
| $145 (0%) โ spot | -$10 | +$3 | +$24 | +$39 |
| $148 (+2%) | -$47 | -$42 | -$37 | -$77 |
| $152 (+5%) | -$101 | -$107 | -$124 | -$192 |
| $160 (+10%) | -$178 | -$196 | -$227 | -$275 |
| $167 (+15%) | -$234 | -$252 | -$276 | -$296 |
| $174 (+20%) | -$267 | -$281 | -$293 | -$299 |
Uses PG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.