Target Price Playground
PG
$145.16
๐ข
PG IV: 24.1% โ LOW
(-42.0% vs 30d avg of 41.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $130 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $145 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.65 ยท ฮ -0.46
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PG hits $130 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$935 (165.5%) on $565 risked, vs $-1,516 (-10.4%) for 100 shares on $14,516. Options give 15.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PG is at $130. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PG hits $130 by Jun 19
+$935
+165.5% on $565 risked
Max Profit
+$13,935
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$565
Premium paid
Break-even
$139.35
-4.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
29%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-46.01 / -4.38 / 24.41
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PG Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $116 (-20%) | +$2,210 | +$2,243 | +$2,281 | +$2,322 |
| $123 (-15%) | +$1,512 | +$1,527 | +$1,556 | +$1,596 |
| $130 (-10%) โ target | +$925 | +$908 | +$905 | +$935 |
| $138 (-5%) | +$337 | +$275 | +$200 | +$145 |
| $142 (-2%) | +$82 | +$3 | -$103 | -$291 |
| $145 (0%) โ spot | -$58 | -$142 | -$256 | -$565 |
| $148 (+2%) | -$175 | -$259 | -$371 | -$565 |
| $152 (+5%) | -$311 | -$387 | -$479 | -$565 |
| $160 (+10%) | -$452 | -$503 | -$549 | -$565 |
| $167 (+15%) | -$520 | -$547 | -$563 | -$565 |
| $174 (+20%) | -$549 | -$561 | -$565 | -$565 |
Uses PG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.