Target Price Playground
PG
$145.16
๐ข
PG IV: 24.1% โ LOW
(-42.0% vs 30d avg of 41.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $160 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $145.16 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $140 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.7 ยท ฮ -0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PG hits $160 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$1,114 (7.5%) on $14,886 risked, vs +$1,484 (10.2%) for 100 shares on $14,516. Options give 0.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PG is at $160. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PG hits $160 by Jun 19
+$1,114
+7.5% on $14,886 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$886
Put floors you at $140
Break-even
$148.86
+2.55% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
30%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
66.26 / -4.17 / 23.67
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PG Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $116 (-20%) | -$983 | -$959 | -$925 | -$886 |
| $123 (-15%) | -$926 | -$931 | -$921 | -$886 |
| $131 (-10%) | -$781 | -$827 | -$876 | -$886 |
| $138 (-5%) | -$499 | -$577 | -$682 | -$886 |
| $142 (-2%) | -$257 | -$339 | -$449 | -$660 |
| $145 (0%) โ spot | -$68 | -$146 | -$246 | -$370 |
| $148 (+2%) | +$142 | +$72 | -$12 | -$80 |
| $152 (+5%) | +$491 | +$435 | +$380 | +$356 |
| $160 (+10%) โ target | +$1,165 | +$1,136 | +$1,117 | +$1,114 |
| $167 (+15%) | +$1,826 | +$1,813 | +$1,807 | +$1,807 |
| $174 (+20%) | +$2,539 | +$2,534 | +$2,533 | +$2,533 |
Uses PG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.