Target Price Playground
PG
$145.16
๐ข
PG IV: 24.1% โ LOW
(-42.0% vs 30d avg of 41.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $165 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $145 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.1 ยท ฮ 0.55
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PG hits $165 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$1,390 (227.9%) on $610 risked, vs +$1,984 (13.7%) for 100 shares on $14,516. Options give 16.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PG is at $165. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PG hits $165 by Jun 19
+$1,390
+227.9% on $610 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$610
Premium paid
Break-even
$151.10
+4.09% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
17%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
54.55 / -4.69 / 24.41
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PG Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $116 (-20%) | -$603 | -$609 | -$610 | -$610 |
| $123 (-15%) | -$575 | -$598 | -$609 | -$610 |
| $131 (-10%) | -$489 | -$549 | -$597 | -$610 |
| $138 (-5%) | -$298 | -$400 | -$514 | -$610 |
| $142 (-2%) | -$117 | -$235 | -$381 | -$610 |
| $145 (0%) โ spot | +$33 | -$91 | -$244 | -$594 |
| $148 (+2%) | +$205 | +$82 | -$69 | -$304 |
| $152 (+5%) | +$505 | +$390 | +$259 | +$132 |
| $160 (+10%) | +$1,090 | +$1,000 | +$915 | +$858 |
| $165 (+14%) โ target | +$1,567 | +$1,496 | +$1,435 | +$1,390 |
| $167 (+15%) | +$1,747 | +$1,681 | +$1,626 | +$1,583 |
| $174 (+20%) | +$2,444 | +$2,394 | +$2,350 | +$2,309 |
Uses PG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.