Target Price Playground
PLTR
$128.06
๐ข
PLTR IV: 58.4% โ LOW
(-15.6% vs 30d avg of 69.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $115 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $130 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.8 ยท ฮ -0.5
SHORT PUT ยท $120 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.75 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PLTR hits $115 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$495 (98.0%) on $505 risked, vs $-1,306 (-10.2%) for 100 shares on $12,806. Options give 9.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PLTR is at $115. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PLTR hits $115 by Jun 19
+$495
+98.0% on $505 risked
Max Profit
+$495
If the stock โค $120 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$505
Net debit
Break-even
$124.95
-2.43% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-12.43 / -0.1 / 1.01
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PLTR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | +$298 | +$339 | +$408 | +$495 |
| $109 (-15%) | +$227 | +$261 | +$328 | +$495 |
| $115 (-10%) โ target | +$153 | +$174 | +$222 | +$495 |
| $122 (-5%) | +$69 | +$73 | +$85 | +$329 |
| $126 (-2%) | +$21 | +$14 | +$4 | -$55 |
| $128 (0%) โ spot | -$10 | -$24 | -$50 | -$311 |
| $131 (+2%) | -$41 | -$61 | -$101 | -$505 |
| $134 (+5%) | -$86 | -$115 | -$174 | -$505 |
| $141 (+10%) | -$155 | -$198 | -$277 | -$505 |
| $147 (+15%) | -$217 | -$268 | -$356 | -$505 |
| $154 (+20%) | -$271 | -$326 | -$413 | -$505 |
Uses PLTR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.