Target Price Playground
PLTR
$128.06
๐ข
PLTR IV: 58.4% โ LOW
(-15.6% vs 30d avg of 69.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $145 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $130 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $11.45 ยท ฮ 0.51
SHORT CALL ยท $140 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.7 ยท ฮ 0.39
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PLTR hits $145 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$625 (166.7%) on $375 risked, vs +$1,694 (13.2%) for 100 shares on $12,806. Options give 12.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PLTR is at $145. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PLTR hits $145 by Jun 19
+$625
+166.7% on $375 risked
Max Profit
+$625
If the stock โฅ $140 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$375
Net debit
Break-even
$133.75
+4.44% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
60%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
11.77 / -0.52 / 1.84
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PLTR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | -$257 | -$295 | -$346 | -$375 |
| $109 (-15%) | -$203 | -$242 | -$307 | -$375 |
| $115 (-10%) | -$140 | -$174 | -$242 | -$375 |
| $122 (-5%) | -$70 | -$94 | -$148 | -$375 |
| $126 (-2%) | -$26 | -$42 | -$81 | -$375 |
| $128 (0%) โ spot | +$4 | -$6 | -$33 | -$375 |
| $131 (+2%) | +$34 | +$30 | +$16 | -$313 |
| $134 (+5%) | +$78 | +$85 | +$92 | +$71 |
| $141 (+10%) | +$151 | +$173 | +$215 | +$625 |
| $145 (+13%) โ target | +$195 | +$227 | +$288 | +$625 |
| $147 (+15%) | +$219 | +$255 | +$324 | +$625 |
| $154 (+20%) | +$282 | +$329 | +$414 | +$625 |
Uses PLTR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.