Target Price Playground
PLTR
$128.06
๐ข
PLTR IV: 57.9% โ LOW
(-16.4% vs 30d avg of 69.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $140 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $128.06 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $140 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.7 ยท ฮ 0.39
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PLTR hits $140 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$1,964 (16.3%) on $12,036 risked, vs +$1,194 (9.3%) for 100 shares on $12,806. Options give 1.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PLTR is at $140. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PLTR hits $140 by Jun 19
+$1,964
+16.3% on $12,036 risked
Max Profit
+$1,964
If the stock โฅ $140 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$12,036
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$120.36
-6.01% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
60.82 / 9.4 / -19.98
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PLTR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | -$1,958 | -$1,867 | -$1,803 | -$1,791 |
| $109 (-15%) | -$1,428 | -$1,297 | -$1,186 | -$1,151 |
| $115 (-10%) | -$938 | -$768 | -$597 | -$511 |
| $122 (-5%) | -$495 | -$287 | -$54 | +$130 |
| $126 (-2%) | -$253 | -$26 | +$243 | +$514 |
| $128 (0%) โ spot | -$101 | +$137 | +$427 | +$770 |
| $131 (+2%) | +$43 | +$291 | +$598 | +$1,026 |
| $134 (+5%) | +$244 | +$503 | +$832 | +$1,410 |
| $140 (+9%) โ target | +$503 | +$773 | +$1,119 | +$1,964 |
| $147 (+15%) | +$792 | +$1,064 | +$1,406 | +$1,964 |
| $154 (+20%) | +$1,002 | +$1,266 | +$1,587 | +$1,964 |
Uses PLTR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.