Target Price Playground
PLTR
$128.06
๐ข
PLTR IV: 58.4% โ LOW
(-15.6% vs 30d avg of 69.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $120 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $130 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $16.35 ยท ฮ -0.48
SHORT PUT ยท $120 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.75 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PLTR hits $120 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$674 (102.1%) on $660 risked, vs $-806 (-6.3%) for 100 shares on $12,806. Options give 16.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PLTR is at $120. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PLTR hits $120 by Jun 19
+$674
+102.1% on $660 risked
Max Profit
+$654
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$612
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$132.57
+3.52% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
80%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-10.93 / 1.71 / 5.1
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PLTR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | +$261 | +$304 | +$359 | +$359 |
| $109 (-15%) | +$225 | +$274 | +$352 | +$438 |
| $115 (-10%) | +$177 | +$226 | +$314 | +$573 |
| $120 (-6%) โ target | +$135 | +$180 | +$263 | +$718 |
| $122 (-5%) | +$119 | +$162 | +$241 | +$612 |
| $126 (-2%) | +$81 | +$117 | +$183 | +$389 |
| $128 (0%) โ spot | +$54 | +$85 | +$140 | +$256 |
| $131 (+2%) | +$27 | +$51 | +$94 | +$135 |
| $134 (+5%) | -$15 | -$0 | +$22 | -$23 |
| $141 (+10%) | -$86 | -$88 | -$100 | -$232 |
| $147 (+15%) | -$156 | -$173 | -$215 | -$381 |
| $154 (+20%) | -$222 | -$253 | -$317 | -$484 |
Uses PLTR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.