Target Price Playground
PLTR
$128.06
๐ข
PLTR IV: 57.9% โ LOW
(-16.4% vs 30d avg of 69.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $145 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $130 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $11.45 ยท ฮ 0.51
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PLTR hits $145 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$355 (31.0%) on $1,145 risked, vs +$1,694 (13.2%) for 100 shares on $12,806. Options give 2.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PLTR is at $145. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PLTR hits $145 by Jun 19
+$355
+31.0% on $1,145 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,145
Premium paid
Break-even
$141.45
+10.46% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
60%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
50.94 / -9.91 / 21.83
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PLTR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | -$859 | -$989 | -$1,104 | -$1,145 |
| $109 (-15%) | -$697 | -$866 | -$1,042 | -$1,145 |
| $115 (-10%) | -$483 | -$687 | -$925 | -$1,145 |
| $122 (-5%) | -$215 | -$447 | -$735 | -$1,145 |
| $126 (-2%) | -$29 | -$272 | -$580 | -$1,145 |
| $128 (0%) โ spot | +$105 | -$143 | -$460 | -$1,145 |
| $131 (+2%) | +$247 | -$4 | -$326 | -$1,083 |
| $134 (+5%) | +$475 | +$222 | -$100 | -$699 |
| $141 (+10%) | +$891 | +$643 | +$338 | -$58 |
| $145 (+13%) โ target | +$1,182 | +$941 | +$655 | +$355 |
| $147 (+15%) | +$1,348 | +$1,113 | +$839 | +$582 |
| $154 (+20%) | +$1,840 | +$1,623 | +$1,389 | +$1,222 |
Uses PLTR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.