Target Price Playground
PLTR
$128.06
๐ข
PLTR IV: 57.9% โ LOW
(-16.4% vs 30d avg of 69.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $115 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $130 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.8 ยท ฮ -0.5
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PLTR hits $115 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$20 (1.4%) on $1,480 risked, vs $-1,306 (-10.2%) for 100 shares on $12,806. Options give 0.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PLTR is at $115. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PLTR hits $115 by Jun 19
+$20
+1.4% on $1,480 risked
Max Profit
+$11,520
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,480
Premium paid
Break-even
$115.20
-10.04% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-49.61 / -8.59 / 21.82
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PLTR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | +$1,454 | +$1,359 | +$1,279 | +$1,275 |
| $109 (-15%) | +$977 | +$842 | +$701 | +$635 |
| $115 (-10%) โ target | +$566 | +$398 | +$197 | +$20 |
| $122 (-5%) | +$177 | -$20 | -$273 | -$646 |
| $126 (-2%) | -$21 | -$229 | -$502 | -$1,030 |
| $128 (0%) โ spot | -$143 | -$356 | -$638 | -$1,286 |
| $131 (+2%) | -$257 | -$473 | -$760 | -$1,480 |
| $134 (+5%) | -$413 | -$631 | -$918 | -$1,480 |
| $141 (+10%) | -$638 | -$851 | -$1,121 | -$1,480 |
| $147 (+15%) | -$821 | -$1,021 | -$1,260 | -$1,480 |
| $154 (+20%) | -$969 | -$1,150 | -$1,350 | -$1,480 |
Uses PLTR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.