Target Price Playground
PLTR
$128.06
๐ข
PLTR IV: 57.9% โ LOW
(-16.4% vs 30d avg of 69.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $140 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $128.06 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $120 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.75 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PLTR hits $140 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$219 (1.6%) on $13,781 risked, vs +$1,194 (9.3%) for 100 shares on $12,806. Options give 0.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PLTR is at $140. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PLTR hits $140 by Jun 19
+$219
+1.6% on $13,781 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$1,781
Put floors you at $120
Break-even
$137.81
+7.61% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
62.82 / -8.49 / 20.81
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PLTR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | -$1,405 | -$1,541 | -$1,691 | -$1,781 |
| $109 (-15%) | -$1,171 | -$1,339 | -$1,548 | -$1,781 |
| $115 (-10%) | -$880 | -$1,070 | -$1,320 | -$1,781 |
| $122 (-5%) | -$532 | -$733 | -$998 | -$1,615 |
| $126 (-2%) | -$299 | -$499 | -$762 | -$1,231 |
| $128 (0%) โ spot | -$133 | -$332 | -$588 | -$975 |
| $131 (+2%) | +$40 | -$156 | -$403 | -$719 |
| $134 (+5%) | +$312 | +$124 | -$104 | -$335 |
| $140 (+9%) โ target | +$730 | +$557 | +$361 | +$219 |
| $147 (+15%) | +$1,317 | +$1,168 | +$1,018 | +$946 |
| $154 (+20%) | +$1,864 | +$1,736 | +$1,624 | +$1,586 |
Uses PLTR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.