Target Price Playground
PLTR
$128.06
๐ข
PLTR IV: 58.4% โ LOW
(-15.6% vs 30d avg of 69.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $145 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $130 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $11.45 ยท ฮ 0.51
LONG PUT ยท $130 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.8 ยท ฮ -0.5
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PLTR hits $145 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-1,125 (-42.9%) on $2,625 risked, vs +$1,694 (13.2%) for 100 shares on $12,806. Options give 3.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PLTR is at $145. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PLTR hits $145 by Jun 19
$-1,125
-42.9% on $2,625 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$2,625
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$103.75
-18.98% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
60%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
1.34 / -18.5 / 43.65
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PLTR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | +$594 | +$370 | +$175 | +$130 |
| $109 (-15%) | +$280 | -$23 | -$341 | -$510 |
| $115 (-10%) | +$68 | -$306 | -$747 | -$1,150 |
| $122 (-5%) | -$38 | -$466 | -$1,007 | -$1,791 |
| $126 (-2%) | -$51 | -$501 | -$1,083 | -$2,175 |
| $128 (0%) โ spot | -$39 | -$499 | -$1,098 | -$2,431 |
| $131 (+2%) | -$10 | -$478 | -$1,086 | -$2,563 |
| $134 (+5%) | +$61 | -$410 | -$1,018 | -$2,179 |
| $141 (+10%) | +$253 | -$208 | -$783 | -$1,538 |
| $145 (+13%) โ target | +$421 | -$25 | -$562 | -$1,125 |
| $147 (+15%) | +$527 | +$92 | -$421 | -$898 |
| $154 (+20%) | +$871 | +$473 | +$39 | -$258 |
Uses PLTR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.