Target Price Playground
PTC
$133.44
๐ข
PTC IV: 37.3% โ LOW
(-34.3% vs 30d avg of 56.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $150 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $135 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.33 ยท ฮ 0.52
SHORT CALL ยท $145 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.05 ยท ฮ 0.32
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PTC hits $150 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$572 (133.8%) on $428 risked, vs +$1,656 (12.4%) for 100 shares on $13,344. Options give 10.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PTC is at $150. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PTC hits $150 by Jun 19
+$572
+133.8% on $428 risked
Max Profit
+$572
If the stock โฅ $145 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$428
Net debit
Break-even
$139.28
+4.37% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
44%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
19.93 / -1.1 / 1.58
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PTC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $107 (-20%) | -$384 | -$408 | -$426 | -$428 |
| $113 (-15%) | -$337 | -$374 | -$414 | -$428 |
| $120 (-10%) | -$264 | -$308 | -$374 | -$428 |
| $127 (-5%) | -$169 | -$208 | -$280 | -$428 |
| $131 (-2%) | -$104 | -$133 | -$194 | -$428 |
| $133 (0%) โ spot | -$58 | -$79 | -$125 | -$428 |
| $136 (+2%) | -$11 | -$23 | -$50 | -$317 |
| $140 (+5%) | +$59 | +$63 | +$68 | +$83 |
| $147 (+10%) | +$171 | +$199 | +$253 | +$572 |
| $150 (+12%) โ target | +$222 | +$258 | +$329 | +$572 |
| $153 (+15%) | +$272 | +$316 | +$396 | +$572 |
| $160 (+20%) | +$354 | +$406 | +$486 | +$572 |
Uses PTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.