Target Price Playground
PTC
$133.44
๐ข
PTC IV: 37.3% โ LOW
(-34.3% vs 30d avg of 56.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $125 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $135 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.15 ยท ฮ -0.46
SHORT PUT ยท $125 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.35 ยท ฮ -0.3
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PTC hits $125 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$562 (96.8%) on $581 risked, vs $-844 (-6.3%) for 100 shares on $13,344. Options give 15.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PTC is at $125. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PTC hits $125 by Jun 19
+$562
+96.8% on $581 risked
Max Profit
+$548
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$577
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$134.05
+0.46% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-16.67 / 0.53 / 7.31
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PTC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $107 (-20%) | +$328 | +$358 | +$384 | +$379 |
| $113 (-15%) | +$278 | +$320 | +$375 | +$400 |
| $120 (-10%) | +$204 | +$248 | +$321 | +$465 |
| $125 (-6%) โ target | +$136 | +$174 | +$240 | +$563 |
| $127 (-5%) | +$109 | +$143 | +$203 | +$435 |
| $131 (-2%) | +$45 | +$68 | +$107 | +$178 |
| $133 (0%) โ spot | +$1 | +$15 | +$37 | +$31 |
| $136 (+2%) | -$44 | -$39 | -$35 | -$95 |
| $140 (+5%) | -$110 | -$118 | -$139 | -$248 |
| $147 (+10%) | -$214 | -$241 | -$292 | -$417 |
| $153 (+15%) | -$305 | -$343 | -$406 | -$507 |
| $160 (+20%) | -$380 | -$422 | -$481 | -$551 |
Uses PTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.