Target Price Playground
PTC
$133.44
๐ข
PTC IV: 37.3% โ LOW
(-34.3% vs 30d avg of 56.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $115 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $135 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.08 ยท ฮ -0.52
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PTC hits $115 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$1,292 (182.5%) on $708 risked, vs $-1,844 (-13.8%) for 100 shares on $13,344. Options give 13.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PTC is at $115. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PTC hits $115 by Jun 19
+$1,292
+182.5% on $708 risked
Max Profit
+$12,792
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$708
Premium paid
Break-even
$127.92
-4.14% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
39%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-51.68 / -5.38 / 22.93
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PTC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $107 (-20%) | +$2,074 | +$2,068 | +$2,081 | +$2,117 |
| $113 (-15%) | +$1,493 | +$1,452 | +$1,427 | +$1,450 |
| $115 (-14%) โ target | +$1,364 | +$1,313 | +$1,277 | +$1,292 |
| $120 (-10%) | +$973 | +$892 | +$809 | +$782 |
| $127 (-5%) | +$529 | +$415 | +$271 | +$115 |
| $131 (-2%) | +$304 | +$175 | +$6 | -$285 |
| $133 (0%) โ spot | +$170 | +$35 | -$144 | -$552 |
| $136 (+2%) | +$49 | -$88 | -$271 | -$708 |
| $140 (+5%) | -$108 | -$244 | -$422 | -$708 |
| $147 (+10%) | -$312 | -$435 | -$580 | -$708 |
| $153 (+15%) | -$455 | -$556 | -$658 | -$708 |
| $160 (+20%) | -$552 | -$627 | -$690 | -$708 |
Uses PTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.