Target Price Playground
PTC
$133.44
๐ข
PTC IV: 37.3% โ LOW
(-34.3% vs 30d avg of 56.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $150 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $135 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.33 ยท ฮ 0.52
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PTC hits $150 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$667 (80.1%) on $833 risked, vs +$1,656 (12.4%) for 100 shares on $13,344. Options give 6.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PTC is at $150. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PTC hits $150 by Jun 19
+$667
+80.1% on $833 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$833
Premium paid
Break-even
$143.33
+7.41% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
44%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
52.36 / -7.12 / 22.77
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PTC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $107 (-20%) | -$764 | -$807 | -$830 | -$833 |
| $113 (-15%) | -$679 | -$756 | -$817 | -$833 |
| $120 (-10%) | -$531 | -$648 | -$768 | -$833 |
| $127 (-5%) | -$308 | -$459 | -$639 | -$833 |
| $131 (-2%) | -$133 | -$298 | -$504 | -$833 |
| $133 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$171 | -$387 | -$833 |
| $136 (+2%) | +$146 | -$27 | -$247 | -$722 |
| $140 (+5%) | +$389 | +$217 | +$3 | -$322 |
| $147 (+10%) | +$852 | +$693 | +$511 | +$345 |
| $150 (+12%) โ target | +$1,098 | +$949 | +$788 | +$667 |
| $153 (+15%) | +$1,377 | +$1,240 | +$1,102 | +$1,013 |
| $160 (+20%) | +$1,947 | +$1,835 | +$1,736 | +$1,680 |
Uses PTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.