Target Price Playground
QBTS
$14.25
๐ข
QBTS IV: 88.9% โ LOW
(-22.7% vs 30d avg of 114.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $16 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $14.25 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QBTS hits $16 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$175 (12.3%) on $1,425 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QBTS hits $16 by Jun 19
+$175
+12.3% on $1,425 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,425
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$14.25
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
75%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QBTS Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $11 (-20%) | -$285 | -$285 | -$285 |
| $12 (-15%) | -$214 | -$214 | -$214 |
| $13 (-10%) | -$142 | -$142 | -$142 |
| $14 (-5%) | -$71 | -$71 | -$71 |
| $14 (-2%) | -$29 | -$29 | -$29 |
| $14 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $15 (+2%) | +$29 | +$29 | +$29 |
| $15 (+5%) | +$71 | +$71 | +$71 |
| $16 (+10%) | +$143 | +$143 | +$143 |
| $16 (+12%) โ target | +$175 | +$175 | +$175 |
| $16 (+15%) | +$214 | +$214 | +$214 |
| $17 (+20%) | +$285 | +$285 | +$285 |
Uses QBTS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.