Target Price Playground
QCOM
$128.06
๐ข
QCOM IV: 41.0% โ LOW
(-26.5% vs 30d avg of 55.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $115 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $130 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.0 ยท ฮ -0.49
SHORT PUT ยท $120 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.15 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QCOM hits $115 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$615 (159.7%) on $385 risked, vs $-1,306 (-10.2%) for 100 shares on $12,806. Options give 15.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QCOM is at $115. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QCOM hits $115 by Jun 19
+$615
+159.7% on $385 risked
Max Profit
+$615
If the stock โค $120 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$385
Net debit
Break-even
$126.15
-1.49% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
51%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-14.37 / 3.14 / 1.1
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QCOM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | +$511 | +$552 | +$597 | +$615 |
| $109 (-15%) | +$428 | +$474 | +$546 | +$615 |
| $115 (-10%) โ target | +$321 | +$359 | +$431 | +$615 |
| $122 (-5%) | +$188 | +$202 | +$232 | +$449 |
| $126 (-2%) | +$109 | +$106 | +$100 | +$65 |
| $128 (0%) โ spot | +$58 | +$44 | +$15 | -$191 |
| $131 (+2%) | +$8 | -$16 | -$65 | -$385 |
| $134 (+5%) | -$61 | -$97 | -$167 | -$385 |
| $141 (+10%) | -$160 | -$207 | -$285 | -$385 |
| $147 (+15%) | -$236 | -$283 | -$346 | -$385 |
| $154 (+20%) | -$291 | -$331 | -$372 | -$385 |
Uses QCOM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.