Target Price Playground
QCOM
$128.06
๐ข
QCOM IV: 16.4% โ LOW
(-70.5% vs 30d avg of 55.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $145 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $130 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.65 ยท ฮ 0.51
SHORT CALL ยท $140 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.8 ยท ฮ 0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QCOM hits $145 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$615 (159.7%) on $385 risked, vs +$1,694 (13.2%) for 100 shares on $12,806. Options give 12.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QCOM is at $145. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QCOM hits $145 by Jun 19
+$615
+159.7% on $385 risked
Max Profit
+$615
If the stock โฅ $140 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$385
Net debit
Break-even
$133.85
+4.52% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
39%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
7.8 / 4.19 / -0.77
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QCOM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | -$350 | -$371 | -$384 | -$385 |
| $109 (-15%) | -$307 | -$341 | -$375 | -$385 |
| $115 (-10%) | -$238 | -$281 | -$343 | -$385 |
| $122 (-5%) | -$143 | -$184 | -$258 | -$385 |
| $126 (-2%) | -$76 | -$109 | -$174 | -$385 |
| $128 (0%) โ spot | -$29 | -$54 | -$105 | -$385 |
| $131 (+2%) | +$19 | +$4 | -$29 | -$323 |
| $134 (+5%) | +$92 | +$93 | +$92 | +$61 |
| $141 (+10%) | +$210 | +$236 | +$287 | +$615 |
| $145 (+13%) โ target | +$280 | +$318 | +$390 | +$615 |
| $147 (+15%) | +$315 | +$358 | +$437 | +$615 |
| $154 (+20%) | +$401 | +$452 | +$531 | +$615 |
Uses QCOM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.