Target Price Playground
QCOM
$128.06
๐ข
QCOM IV: 16.4% โ LOW
(-70.5% vs 30d avg of 55.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $140 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $128.06 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $140 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.8 ยท ฮ 0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QCOM hits $140 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$1,574 (12.7%) on $12,426 risked, vs +$1,194 (9.3%) for 100 shares on $12,806. Options give 1.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QCOM is at $140. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QCOM hits $140 by Jun 19
+$1,574
+12.7% on $12,426 risked
Max Profit
+$1,574
If the stock โฅ $140 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$12,426
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$124.26
-2.97% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
54%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.89 / 10.75 / -22.54
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QCOM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | -$2,197 | -$2,185 | -$2,181 | -$2,181 |
| $109 (-15%) | -$1,586 | -$1,556 | -$1,542 | -$1,541 |
| $115 (-10%) | -$1,006 | -$947 | -$908 | -$901 |
| $122 (-5%) | -$474 | -$378 | -$292 | -$260 |
| $126 (-2%) | -$185 | -$66 | +$55 | +$124 |
| $128 (0%) โ spot | -$7 | +$126 | +$272 | +$380 |
| $131 (+2%) | +$160 | +$305 | +$474 | +$636 |
| $134 (+5%) | +$386 | +$547 | +$744 | +$1,020 |
| $140 (+9%) โ target | +$663 | +$835 | +$1,053 | +$1,574 |
| $147 (+15%) | +$942 | +$1,111 | +$1,316 | +$1,574 |
| $154 (+20%) | +$1,118 | +$1,270 | +$1,438 | +$1,574 |
Uses QCOM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.