Target Price Playground
QCOM
$128.06
๐ข
QCOM IV: 41.0% โ LOW
(-26.5% vs 30d avg of 55.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $120 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $130 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.3 ยท ฮ -0.49
SHORT PUT ยท $120 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.15 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QCOM hits $120 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$578 (112.1%) on $515 risked, vs $-806 (-6.3%) for 100 shares on $12,806. Options give 17.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QCOM is at $120. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QCOM hits $120 by Jun 19
+$578
+112.1% on $515 risked
Max Profit
+$565
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$513
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$128.96
+0.7% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
68%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-13.96 / 5.06 / 5.35
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QCOM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | +$393 | +$422 | +$446 | +$444 |
| $109 (-15%) | +$343 | +$384 | +$436 | +$459 |
| $115 (-10%) | +$266 | +$309 | +$379 | +$511 |
| $120 (-6%) โ target | +$193 | +$230 | +$294 | +$596 |
| $122 (-5%) | +$166 | +$199 | +$257 | +$472 |
| $126 (-2%) | +$99 | +$120 | +$157 | +$217 |
| $128 (0%) โ spot | +$52 | +$65 | +$84 | +$72 |
| $131 (+2%) | +$6 | +$9 | +$10 | -$53 |
| $134 (+5%) | -$63 | -$73 | -$97 | -$203 |
| $141 (+10%) | -$169 | -$198 | -$250 | -$367 |
| $147 (+15%) | -$261 | -$299 | -$360 | -$452 |
| $154 (+20%) | -$335 | -$375 | -$430 | -$491 |
Uses QCOM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.