Target Price Playground
QCOM
$128.06
๐ข
QCOM IV: 16.4% โ LOW
(-70.5% vs 30d avg of 55.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $145 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $128.06 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QCOM hits $145 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$1,694 (13.2%) on $12,806 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QCOM hits $145 by Jun 19
+$1,694
+13.2% on $12,806 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$12,806
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$128.06
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
39%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QCOM Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | -$2,561 | -$2,561 | -$2,561 |
| $109 (-15%) | -$1,921 | -$1,921 | -$1,921 |
| $115 (-10%) | -$1,281 | -$1,281 | -$1,281 |
| $122 (-5%) | -$640 | -$640 | -$640 |
| $126 (-2%) | -$256 | -$256 | -$256 |
| $128 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $131 (+2%) | +$256 | +$256 | +$256 |
| $134 (+5%) | +$640 | +$640 | +$640 |
| $141 (+10%) | +$1,281 | +$1,281 | +$1,281 |
| $145 (+13%) โ target | +$1,694 | +$1,694 | +$1,694 |
| $147 (+15%) | +$1,921 | +$1,921 | +$1,921 |
| $154 (+20%) | +$2,561 | +$2,561 | +$2,561 |
Uses QCOM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.