Target Price Playground
QCOM
$128.06
๐ข
QCOM IV: 16.4% โ LOW
(-70.5% vs 30d avg of 55.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $140 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $128.06 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $120 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.15 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QCOM hits $140 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$679 (5.1%) on $13,321 risked, vs +$1,194 (9.3%) for 100 shares on $12,806. Options give 0.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QCOM is at $140. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QCOM hits $140 by Jun 19
+$679
+5.1% on $13,321 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$1,321
Put floors you at $120
Break-even
$133.21
+4.02% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
54%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
65.39 / -9.27 / 20.65
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QCOM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | -$1,273 | -$1,312 | -$1,338 | -$1,321 |
| $109 (-15%) | -$1,117 | -$1,194 | -$1,278 | -$1,321 |
| $115 (-10%) | -$877 | -$982 | -$1,119 | -$1,321 |
| $122 (-5%) | -$545 | -$661 | -$816 | -$1,155 |
| $126 (-2%) | -$304 | -$418 | -$564 | -$771 |
| $128 (0%) โ spot | -$128 | -$237 | -$371 | -$515 |
| $131 (+2%) | +$59 | -$42 | -$161 | -$259 |
| $134 (+5%) | +$359 | +$271 | +$177 | +$125 |
| $140 (+9%) โ target | +$826 | +$757 | +$698 | +$679 |
| $147 (+15%) | +$1,482 | +$1,438 | +$1,410 | +$1,406 |
| $154 (+20%) | +$2,087 | +$2,060 | +$2,047 | +$2,046 |
Uses QCOM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.