Target Price Playground
QCOM
$128.06
๐ข
QCOM IV: 16.4% โ LOW
(-70.5% vs 30d avg of 55.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $145 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $130 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.65 ยท ฮ 0.51
LONG PUT ยท $130 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.0 ยท ฮ -0.49
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QCOM hits $145 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-165 (-9.9%) on $1,665 risked, vs +$1,694 (13.2%) for 100 shares on $12,806. Options give 0.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QCOM is at $145. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QCOM hits $145 by Jun 19
$-165
-9.9% on $1,665 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$1,665
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$113.35
-11.49% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
39%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
1.93 / -12.69 / 43.53
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QCOM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | +$1,086 | +$1,054 | +$1,056 | +$1,090 |
| $109 (-15%) | +$590 | +$495 | +$434 | +$450 |
| $115 (-10%) | +$208 | +$38 | -$129 | -$190 |
| $122 (-5%) | -$26 | -$264 | -$549 | -$831 |
| $126 (-2%) | -$87 | -$354 | -$692 | -$1,215 |
| $128 (0%) โ spot | -$94 | -$373 | -$734 | -$1,471 |
| $131 (+2%) | -$74 | -$359 | -$730 | -$1,603 |
| $134 (+5%) | +$4 | -$280 | -$642 | -$1,219 |
| $141 (+10%) | +$250 | -$8 | -$309 | -$578 |
| $145 (+13%) โ target | +$475 | +$244 | -$3 | -$165 |
| $147 (+15%) | +$618 | +$403 | +$186 | +$62 |
| $154 (+20%) | +$1,079 | +$911 | +$767 | +$702 |
Uses QCOM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.