Target Price Playground
QCOM
$128.06
๐ข
QCOM IV: 16.4% โ LOW
(-70.5% vs 30d avg of 55.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $145 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $130 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.65 ยท ฮ 0.51
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QCOM hits $145 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$735 (96.1%) on $765 risked, vs +$1,694 (13.2%) for 100 shares on $12,806. Options give 7.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QCOM is at $145. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QCOM hits $145 by Jun 19
+$735
+96.1% on $765 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$765
Premium paid
Break-even
$137.65
+7.49% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
39%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
50.9 / -6.56 / 21.77
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QCOM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | -$713 | -$747 | -$764 | -$765 |
| $109 (-15%) | -$642 | -$707 | -$755 | -$765 |
| $115 (-10%) | -$513 | -$615 | -$716 | -$765 |
| $122 (-5%) | -$309 | -$446 | -$606 | -$765 |
| $126 (-2%) | -$147 | -$298 | -$485 | -$765 |
| $128 (0%) โ spot | -$23 | -$180 | -$378 | -$765 |
| $131 (+2%) | +$115 | -$45 | -$248 | -$703 |
| $134 (+5%) | +$346 | +$186 | -$12 | -$319 |
| $141 (+10%) | +$790 | +$643 | +$475 | +$322 |
| $145 (+13%) โ target | +$1,109 | +$975 | +$834 | +$735 |
| $147 (+15%) | +$1,294 | +$1,168 | +$1,042 | +$962 |
| $154 (+20%) | +$1,844 | +$1,742 | +$1,653 | +$1,602 |
Uses QCOM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.