Target Price Playground
QLYS
$76.20
๐ข
QLYS IV: 52.7% โ LOW
(-29.5% vs 30d avg of 74.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $67 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $76 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.97 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $70 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.2 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QLYS hits $67 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$323 (116.8%) on $277 risked, vs $-920 (-12.1%) for 100 shares on $7,620. Options give 9.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QLYS is at $67. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QLYS hits $67 by Jun 19
+$323
+116.8% on $277 risked
Max Profit
+$323
If the stock โค $70 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$277
Net debit
Break-even
$73.23
-3.89% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
62%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-12.64 / -0.43 / 1.37
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QLYS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $61 (-20%) | +$196 | +$220 | +$262 | +$323 |
| $65 (-15%) | +$150 | +$168 | +$207 | +$323 |
| $67 (-12%) โ target | +$121 | +$135 | +$165 | +$323 |
| $69 (-10%) | +$100 | +$110 | +$132 | +$323 |
| $72 (-5%) | +$49 | +$48 | +$48 | +$84 |
| $75 (-2%) | +$19 | +$11 | -$3 | -$145 |
| $76 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$12 | -$36 | -$277 |
| $78 (+2%) | -$19 | -$35 | -$67 | -$277 |
| $80 (+5%) | -$47 | -$68 | -$109 | -$277 |
| $84 (+10%) | -$88 | -$116 | -$167 | -$277 |
| $88 (+15%) | -$125 | -$157 | -$209 | -$277 |
| $91 (+20%) | -$156 | -$189 | -$237 | -$277 |
Uses QLYS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.