Target Price Playground
QLYS
$76.20
๐ข
QLYS IV: 52.7% โ LOW
(-29.5% vs 30d avg of 74.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $85 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $76 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.79 ยท ฮ 0.57
SHORT CALL ยท $82 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.37 ยท ฮ 0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QLYS hits $85 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$358 (147.5%) on $242 risked, vs +$880 (11.5%) for 100 shares on $7,620. Options give 12.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QLYS is at $85. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QLYS hits $85 by Jun 19
+$358
+147.5% on $242 risked
Max Profit
+$358
If the stock โฅ $82 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$242
Net debit
Break-even
$78.42
+2.92% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
64%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
12.35 / -0.07 / -0.05
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QLYS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $61 (-20%) | -$167 | -$190 | -$222 | -$242 |
| $65 (-15%) | -$132 | -$155 | -$196 | -$242 |
| $69 (-10%) | -$91 | -$111 | -$151 | -$242 |
| $72 (-5%) | -$46 | -$59 | -$88 | -$242 |
| $75 (-2%) | -$18 | -$25 | -$44 | -$242 |
| $76 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$3 | -$13 | -$222 |
| $78 (+2%) | +$19 | +$20 | +$19 | -$70 |
| $80 (+5%) | +$47 | +$54 | +$66 | +$159 |
| $84 (+10%) | +$92 | +$109 | +$141 | +$358 |
| $85 (+12%) โ target | +$105 | +$125 | +$162 | +$358 |
| $88 (+15%) | +$134 | +$159 | +$205 | +$358 |
| $91 (+20%) | +$171 | +$202 | +$255 | +$358 |
Uses QLYS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.