Target Price Playground
QLYS
$76.20
๐ข
QLYS IV: 52.7% โ LOW
(-29.5% vs 30d avg of 74.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $67 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $76 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.97 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QLYS hits $67 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$204 (29.2%) on $697 risked, vs $-920 (-12.1%) for 100 shares on $7,620. Options give 2.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QLYS is at $67. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QLYS hits $67 by Jun 19
+$204
+29.2% on $697 risked
Max Profit
+$6,904
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$697
Premium paid
Break-even
$69.03
-9.4% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
62%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-43.38 / -4.97 / 12.84
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QLYS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $61 (-20%) | +$920 | +$863 | +$813 | +$807 |
| $65 (-15%) | +$641 | +$561 | +$474 | +$426 |
| $67 (-12%) โ target | +$492 | +$400 | +$291 | +$203 |
| $69 (-10%) | +$394 | +$294 | +$171 | +$45 |
| $72 (-5%) | +$180 | +$66 | -$83 | -$336 |
| $75 (-2%) | +$68 | -$52 | -$210 | -$565 |
| $76 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$122 | -$284 | -$697 |
| $78 (+2%) | -$64 | -$187 | -$349 | -$697 |
| $80 (+5%) | -$151 | -$273 | -$432 | -$697 |
| $84 (+10%) | -$274 | -$391 | -$535 | -$697 |
| $88 (+15%) | -$372 | -$480 | -$603 | -$697 |
| $91 (+20%) | -$450 | -$545 | -$644 | -$697 |
Uses QLYS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.