Target Price Playground
QLYS
$76.20
๐ข
QLYS IV: 56.8% โ LOW
(-24.1% vs 30d avg of 74.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $85 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $76 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.79 ยท ฮ 0.57
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QLYS hits $85 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$121 (15.5%) on $779 risked, vs +$880 (11.5%) for 100 shares on $7,620. Options give 1.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QLYS is at $85. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QLYS hits $85 by Jun 19
+$121
+15.5% on $779 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$779
Premium paid
Break-even
$83.79
+9.96% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
64%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.62 / -5.9 / 12.84
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QLYS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $61 (-20%) | -$604 | -$681 | -$752 | -$779 |
| $65 (-15%) | -$502 | -$602 | -$710 | -$779 |
| $69 (-10%) | -$367 | -$488 | -$631 | -$779 |
| $72 (-5%) | -$200 | -$335 | -$504 | -$779 |
| $75 (-2%) | -$84 | -$224 | -$403 | -$779 |
| $76 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$142 | -$324 | -$759 |
| $78 (+2%) | +$88 | -$55 | -$237 | -$607 |
| $80 (+5%) | +$231 | +$88 | -$92 | -$378 |
| $84 (+10%) | +$489 | +$351 | +$186 | +$3 |
| $85 (+12%) โ target | +$574 | +$439 | +$280 | +$121 |
| $88 (+15%) | +$771 | +$643 | +$500 | +$384 |
| $91 (+20%) | +$1,074 | +$959 | +$839 | +$765 |
Uses QLYS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.