Target Price Playground
QTUM
$116.69
๐ข
QTUM IV: 30.0% โ LOW
(-21.6% vs 30d avg of 38.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $105 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $115 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.39 ยท ฮ -0.4
SHORT PUT ยท $105 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.27 ยท ฮ -0.16
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QTUM hits $105 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$688 (220.5%) on $312 risked, vs $-1,169 (-10.0%) for 100 shares on $11,669. Options give 22.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QTUM is at $105. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QTUM hits $105 by Jun 19
+$688
+220.5% on $312 risked
Max Profit
+$688
If the stock โค $105 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$312
Net debit
Break-even
$111.88
-4.12% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
41%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-24.2 / -1.14 / 7.18
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QTUM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $93 (-20%) | +$585 | +$626 | +$669 | +$688 |
| $99 (-15%) | +$475 | +$523 | +$597 | +$688 |
| $105 (-10%) โ target | +$325 | +$355 | +$412 | +$688 |
| $111 (-5%) | +$155 | +$152 | +$143 | +$102 |
| $114 (-2%) | +$59 | +$36 | -$11 | -$248 |
| $117 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$33 | -$96 | -$312 |
| $119 (+2%) | -$53 | -$93 | -$164 | -$312 |
| $123 (+5%) | -$122 | -$166 | -$235 | -$312 |
| $128 (+10%) | -$207 | -$246 | -$291 | -$312 |
| $134 (+15%) | -$258 | -$286 | -$308 | -$312 |
| $140 (+20%) | -$286 | -$303 | -$311 | -$312 |
Uses QTUM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.