Target Price Playground
๐ Strategy
๐ฏ Target
โ๏ธ Legs
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QTUM hits $125 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$127 (1.2%) on $-127 credit (max loss $10,373), vs +$831 (7.1%) for 100 shares on $11,669. Options give 0.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QTUM is at $125. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QTUM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $93 (-20%) | -$1,073 | -$1,045 | -$1,024 | -$1,038 |
| $99 (-15%) | -$653 | -$592 | -$518 | -$454 |
| $105 (-10%) | -$338 | -$261 | -$156 | +$127 |
| $111 (-5%) | -$126 | -$54 | +$35 | +$127 |
| $114 (-2%) | -$42 | +$20 | +$86 | +$127 |
| $117 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$53 | +$105 | +$127 |
| $119 (+2%) | +$33 | +$77 | +$115 | +$127 |
| $123 (+5%) | +$69 | +$101 | +$123 | +$127 |
| $125 (+7%) โ target | +$86 | +$111 | +$125 | +$127 |
| $128 (+10%) | +$102 | +$119 | +$126 | +$127 |
| $134 (+15%) | +$117 | +$125 | +$127 | +$127 |
| $140 (+20%) | +$123 | +$126 | +$127 | +$127 |