Target Price Playground
QTUM
$116.69
๐ข
QTUM IV: 30.0% โ LOW
(-21.6% vs 30d avg of 38.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $125 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $116.69 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $125 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.91 ยท ฮ 0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QTUM hits $125 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$1,122 (9.9%) on $11,378 risked, vs +$831 (7.1%) for 100 shares on $11,669. Options give 1.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QTUM is at $125. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QTUM hits $125 by Jun 19
+$1,122
+9.9% on $11,378 risked
Max Profit
+$1,122
If the stock โฅ $125 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$11,378
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$113.78
-2.5% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
56%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
66.85 / 4.29 / -18.14
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QTUM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $93 (-20%) | -$2,047 | -$2,044 | -$2,043 | -$2,043 |
| $99 (-15%) | -$1,477 | -$1,464 | -$1,459 | -$1,459 |
| $105 (-10%) | -$931 | -$897 | -$878 | -$876 |
| $111 (-5%) | -$431 | -$365 | -$310 | -$292 |
| $114 (-2%) | -$163 | -$76 | +$11 | +$58 |
| $117 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$99 | +$208 | +$291 |
| $119 (+2%) | +$148 | +$259 | +$388 | +$524 |
| $123 (+5%) | +$345 | +$467 | +$618 | +$874 |
| $125 (+7%) โ target | +$464 | +$590 | +$748 | +$1,122 |
| $128 (+10%) | +$601 | +$726 | +$882 | +$1,122 |
| $134 (+15%) | +$775 | +$888 | +$1,014 | +$1,122 |
| $140 (+20%) | +$885 | +$978 | +$1,066 | +$1,122 |
Uses QTUM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.