Target Price Playground
QTUM
$116.69
๐ข
QTUM IV: 30.0% โ LOW
(-21.6% vs 30d avg of 38.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $105 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $115 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.39 ยท ฮ -0.4
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QTUM hits $105 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$561 (128.0%) on $439 risked, vs $-1,169 (-10.0%) for 100 shares on $11,669. Options give 12.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QTUM is at $105. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QTUM hits $105 by Jun 19
+$561
+128.0% on $439 risked
Max Profit
+$11,061
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$439
Premium paid
Break-even
$110.61
-5.21% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
41%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-40.19 / -3.47 / 19.34
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QTUM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $93 (-20%) | +$1,658 | +$1,670 | +$1,694 | +$1,726 |
| $99 (-15%) | +$1,129 | +$1,115 | +$1,115 | +$1,142 |
| $105 (-10%) โ target | +$664 | +$617 | +$569 | +$561 |
| $111 (-5%) | +$282 | +$206 | +$108 | -$25 |
| $114 (-2%) | +$101 | +$17 | -$97 | -$375 |
| $117 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$86 | -$201 | -$439 |
| $119 (+2%) | -$87 | -$170 | -$279 | -$439 |
| $123 (+5%) | -$191 | -$267 | -$358 | -$439 |
| $128 (+10%) | -$309 | -$365 | -$418 | -$439 |
| $134 (+15%) | -$375 | -$410 | -$435 | -$439 |
| $140 (+20%) | -$410 | -$429 | -$438 | -$439 |
Uses QTUM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.