Target Price Playground
QTUM
$116.69
๐ข
QTUM IV: 30.0% โ LOW
(-21.6% vs 30d avg of 38.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $130 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $116.69 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QTUM hits $130 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$1,331 (11.4%) on $11,669 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QTUM hits $130 by Jun 19
+$1,331
+11.4% on $11,669 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$11,669
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$116.69
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
35%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QTUM Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $93 (-20%) | -$2,334 | -$2,334 | -$2,334 |
| $99 (-15%) | -$1,750 | -$1,750 | -$1,750 |
| $105 (-10%) | -$1,167 | -$1,167 | -$1,167 |
| $111 (-5%) | -$583 | -$583 | -$583 |
| $114 (-2%) | -$233 | -$233 | -$233 |
| $117 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $119 (+2%) | +$233 | +$233 | +$233 |
| $123 (+5%) | +$583 | +$583 | +$583 |
| $128 (+10%) | +$1,167 | +$1,167 | +$1,167 |
| $130 (+11%) โ target | +$1,331 | +$1,331 | +$1,331 |
| $134 (+15%) | +$1,750 | +$1,750 | +$1,750 |
| $140 (+20%) | +$2,334 | +$2,334 | +$2,334 |
Uses QTUM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.