Target Price Playground
QTUM
$116.69
๐ข
QTUM IV: 30.0% โ LOW
(-21.6% vs 30d avg of 38.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $130 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $116.69 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $110 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.5 ยท ฮ -0.27
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QTUM hits $130 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$1,081 (9.1%) on $11,919 risked, vs +$1,331 (11.4%) for 100 shares on $11,669. Options give 0.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QTUM is at $130. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QTUM hits $130 by Jun 19
+$1,081
+9.1% on $11,919 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$919
Put floors you at $110
Break-even
$119.19
+2.14% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
35%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
73.01 / -3.09 / 16.53
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QTUM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $93 (-20%) | -$951 | -$956 | -$947 | -$919 |
| $99 (-15%) | -$852 | -$890 | -$923 | -$919 |
| $105 (-10%) | -$668 | -$736 | -$823 | -$919 |
| $111 (-5%) | -$382 | -$464 | -$574 | -$833 |
| $114 (-2%) | -$163 | -$242 | -$345 | -$483 |
| $117 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$74 | -$164 | -$250 |
| $119 (+2%) | +$176 | +$109 | +$34 | -$17 |
| $123 (+5%) | +$461 | +$407 | +$355 | +$333 |
| $128 (+10%) | +$978 | +$944 | +$921 | +$917 |
| $130 (+11%) โ target | +$1,130 | +$1,101 | +$1,083 | +$1,081 |
| $134 (+15%) | +$1,527 | +$1,509 | +$1,501 | +$1,500 |
| $140 (+20%) | +$2,095 | +$2,087 | +$2,084 | +$2,084 |
Uses QTUM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.