Target Price Playground
QTUM
$116.69
๐ข
QTUM IV: 30.0% โ LOW
(-21.6% vs 30d avg of 38.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $135 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $115 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.02 ยท ฮ 0.6
LONG PUT ยท $115 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.39 ยท ฮ -0.4
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QTUM hits $135 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$859 (75.3%) on $1,141 risked, vs +$1,831 (15.7%) for 100 shares on $11,669. Options give 4.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QTUM is at $135. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QTUM hits $135 by Jun 19
+$859
+75.3% on $1,141 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$1,141
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$126.41
+8.33% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
20%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
19.62 / -8.35 / 38.68
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QTUM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $93 (-20%) | +$982 | +$976 | +$992 | +$1,024 |
| $99 (-15%) | +$508 | +$450 | +$419 | +$440 |
| $105 (-10%) | +$158 | +$33 | -$93 | -$143 |
| $111 (-5%) | -$19 | -$201 | -$428 | -$727 |
| $114 (-2%) | -$31 | -$230 | -$488 | -$1,077 |
| $117 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$202 | -$462 | -$972 |
| $119 (+2%) | +$60 | -$138 | -$387 | -$739 |
| $123 (+5%) | +$201 | +$18 | -$195 | -$389 |
| $128 (+10%) | +$550 | +$407 | +$270 | +$195 |
| $135 (+16%) โ target | +$1,069 | +$973 | +$898 | +$859 |
| $140 (+20%) | +$1,515 | +$1,446 | +$1,396 | +$1,362 |
Uses QTUM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.