Target Price Playground
QTWO
$45.87
๐ข
QTWO IV: 57.6% โ LOW
(-34.7% vs 30d avg of 88.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $51 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $46 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.62 ยท ฮ 0.56
SHORT CALL ยท $50 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.06 ยท ฮ 0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QTWO hits $51 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$244 (156.5%) on $156 risked, vs +$513 (11.2%) for 100 shares on $4,587. Options give 14.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QTWO is at $51. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QTWO hits $51 by Jun 19
+$244
+156.5% on $156 risked
Max Profit
+$244
If the stock โฅ $50 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$156
Net debit
Break-even
$47.56
+3.68% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
65%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
13.42 / -0.08 / 0.06
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QTWO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $37 (-20%) | -$108 | -$123 | -$144 | -$156 |
| $39 (-15%) | -$86 | -$101 | -$128 | -$156 |
| $41 (-10%) | -$60 | -$73 | -$100 | -$156 |
| $44 (-5%) | -$31 | -$40 | -$61 | -$156 |
| $45 (-2%) | -$12 | -$18 | -$33 | -$156 |
| $46 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$3 | -$13 | -$156 |
| $47 (+2%) | +$12 | +$12 | +$8 | -$77 |
| $48 (+5%) | +$31 | +$34 | +$39 | +$60 |
| $50 (+10%) | +$60 | +$70 | +$89 | +$244 |
| $51 (+11%) โ target | +$67 | +$78 | +$100 | +$244 |
| $53 (+15%) | +$88 | +$104 | +$133 | +$244 |
| $55 (+20%) | +$113 | +$133 | +$168 | +$244 |
Uses QTWO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.