Target Price Playground
QTWO
$45.87
๐ข
QTWO IV: 57.6% โ LOW
(-34.7% vs 30d avg of 88.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $40 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $46 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.37 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $42 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.51 ยท ฮ -0.3
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QTWO hits $40 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$214 (115.4%) on $186 risked, vs $-587 (-12.8%) for 100 shares on $4,587. Options give 9.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QTWO is at $40. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QTWO hits $40 by Jun 19
+$214
+115.4% on $186 risked
Max Profit
+$214
If the stock โค $42 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$186
Net debit
Break-even
$44.14
-3.77% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
60%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-13.87 / -0.28 / 0.89
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QTWO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $37 (-20%) | +$129 | +$145 | +$173 | +$214 |
| $39 (-15%) | +$99 | +$111 | +$136 | +$214 |
| $40 (-13%) โ target | +$84 | +$94 | +$116 | +$214 |
| $41 (-10%) | +$66 | +$72 | +$88 | +$214 |
| $44 (-5%) | +$32 | +$32 | +$32 | +$56 |
| $45 (-2%) | +$13 | +$8 | -$2 | -$81 |
| $46 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$8 | -$23 | -$173 |
| $47 (+2%) | -$13 | -$23 | -$44 | -$186 |
| $48 (+5%) | -$31 | -$45 | -$72 | -$186 |
| $50 (+10%) | -$59 | -$77 | -$111 | -$186 |
| $53 (+15%) | -$83 | -$104 | -$139 | -$186 |
| $55 (+20%) | -$104 | -$125 | -$158 | -$186 |
Uses QTWO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.