Target Price Playground
QTWO
$45.87
๐ข
QTWO IV: 57.6% โ LOW
(-34.7% vs 30d avg of 88.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $44 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $46 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.13 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $44 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.37 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QTWO hits $44 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$210 (119.1%) on $177 risked, vs $-187 (-4.1%) for 100 shares on $4,587. Options give 29.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QTWO is at $44. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QTWO hits $44 by Jun 19
+$210
+119.1% on $177 risked
Max Profit
+$202
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$159
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$48.77
+6.32% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
87%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-5.73 / 0.46 / 1.76
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QTWO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $37 (-20%) | +$29 | +$38 | +$48 | +$32 |
| $39 (-15%) | +$27 | +$40 | +$59 | +$63 |
| $41 (-10%) | +$21 | +$37 | +$63 | +$114 |
| $44 (-4%) โ target | +$10 | +$25 | +$53 | +$211 |
| $45 (-2%) | +$6 | +$20 | +$46 | +$159 |
| $46 (0%) โ spot | +$1 | +$14 | +$38 | +$114 |
| $47 (+2%) | -$5 | +$7 | +$28 | +$73 |
| $48 (+5%) | -$14 | -$4 | +$12 | +$21 |
| $50 (+10%) | -$29 | -$24 | -$19 | -$47 |
| $53 (+15%) | -$45 | -$45 | -$50 | -$95 |
| $55 (+20%) | -$61 | -$66 | -$78 | -$126 |
Uses QTWO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.