Target Price Playground
QTWO
$45.87
๐ข
QTWO IV: 57.6% โ LOW
(-34.7% vs 30d avg of 88.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $40 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $46 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.37 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QTWO hits $40 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$163 (37.4%) on $437 risked, vs $-587 (-12.8%) for 100 shares on $4,587. Options give 2.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QTWO is at $40. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QTWO hits $40 by Jun 19
+$163
+37.4% on $437 risked
Max Profit
+$4,163
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$437
Premium paid
Break-even
$41.63
-9.24% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
60%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-44.22 / -3.03 / 7.76
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QTWO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $37 (-20%) | +$559 | +$525 | +$496 | +$493 |
| $39 (-15%) | +$391 | +$343 | +$291 | +$264 |
| $40 (-13%) โ target | +$322 | +$268 | +$207 | +$163 |
| $41 (-10%) | +$241 | +$181 | +$107 | +$35 |
| $44 (-5%) | +$110 | +$41 | -$49 | -$195 |
| $45 (-2%) | +$42 | -$31 | -$127 | -$332 |
| $46 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$74 | -$173 | -$424 |
| $47 (+2%) | -$40 | -$114 | -$214 | -$437 |
| $48 (+5%) | -$93 | -$168 | -$265 | -$437 |
| $50 (+10%) | -$169 | -$241 | -$331 | -$437 |
| $53 (+15%) | -$230 | -$297 | -$374 | -$437 |
| $55 (+20%) | -$279 | -$338 | -$401 | -$437 |
Uses QTWO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.