Target Price Playground
QTWO
$45.87
๐ข
QTWO IV: 57.6% โ LOW
(-34.7% vs 30d avg of 88.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $50 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $45.87 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $44 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.37 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QTWO hits $50 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$76 (1.6%) on $4,924 risked, vs +$413 (9.0%) for 100 shares on $4,587. Options give 0.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QTWO is at $50. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QTWO hits $50 by Jun 19
+$76
+1.6% on $4,924 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$524
Put floors you at $44
Break-even
$49.24
+7.34% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
72%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
62.76 / -2.94 / 7.44
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QTWO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $37 (-20%) | -$420 | -$463 | -$506 | -$524 |
| $39 (-15%) | -$346 | -$401 | -$467 | -$524 |
| $41 (-10%) | -$251 | -$316 | -$400 | -$524 |
| $44 (-5%) | -$135 | -$206 | -$299 | -$524 |
| $45 (-2%) | -$57 | -$128 | -$223 | -$429 |
| $46 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$72 | -$166 | -$337 |
| $47 (+2%) | +$59 | -$12 | -$104 | -$245 |
| $48 (+5%) | +$152 | +$83 | -$4 | -$108 |
| $50 (+9%) โ target | +$285 | +$220 | +$143 | +$76 |
| $50 (+10%) | +$320 | +$256 | +$182 | +$122 |
| $53 (+15%) | +$501 | +$444 | +$384 | +$351 |
| $55 (+20%) | +$692 | +$643 | +$598 | +$580 |
Uses QTWO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.