Target Price Playground
QTWO
$45.87
๐ข
QTWO IV: 57.6% โ LOW
(-34.7% vs 30d avg of 88.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $53 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $46 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.62 ยท ฮ 0.56
LONG PUT ยท $46 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.37 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QTWO hits $53 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-198 (-22.1%) on $898 risked, vs +$713 (15.5%) for 100 shares on $4,587. Options give 1.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QTWO is at $53. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QTWO hits $53 by Jun 19
$-198
-22.1% on $898 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$898
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$37.02
-19.3% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
53%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
11.56 / -6.62 / 15.52
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QTWO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $37 (-20%) | +$202 | +$121 | +$49 | +$31 |
| $39 (-15%) | +$93 | -$15 | -$131 | -$198 |
| $41 (-10%) | +$23 | -$110 | -$269 | -$427 |
| $44 (-5%) | -$9 | -$159 | -$352 | -$657 |
| $45 (-2%) | -$8 | -$166 | -$371 | -$794 |
| $46 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | -$161 | -$371 | -$886 |
| $47 (+2%) | +$13 | -$149 | -$360 | -$820 |
| $48 (+5%) | +$43 | -$119 | -$327 | -$683 |
| $50 (+10%) | +$121 | -$35 | -$228 | -$453 |
| $53 (+16%) โ target | +$241 | +$97 | -$67 | -$199 |
| $55 (+20%) | +$360 | +$228 | +$90 | +$5 |
Uses QTWO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.