Target Price Playground
QTWO
$45.87
๐ข
QTWO IV: 57.6% โ LOW
(-34.7% vs 30d avg of 88.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $51 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $46 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.62 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QTWO hits $51 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$38 (8.3%) on $462 risked, vs +$513 (11.2%) for 100 shares on $4,587. Options give 0.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QTWO is at $51. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QTWO hits $51 by Jun 19
+$38
+8.3% on $462 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$462
Premium paid
Break-even
$50.62
+10.35% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
65%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.78 / -3.59 / 7.76
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QTWO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $37 (-20%) | -$358 | -$404 | -$446 | -$462 |
| $39 (-15%) | -$297 | -$358 | -$422 | -$462 |
| $41 (-10%) | -$218 | -$291 | -$377 | -$462 |
| $44 (-5%) | -$119 | -$200 | -$303 | -$462 |
| $45 (-2%) | -$50 | -$135 | -$244 | -$462 |
| $46 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$87 | -$198 | -$462 |
| $47 (+2%) | +$52 | -$35 | -$147 | -$383 |
| $48 (+5%) | +$136 | +$49 | -$61 | -$246 |
| $50 (+10%) | +$290 | +$206 | +$103 | -$16 |
| $51 (+11%) โ target | +$328 | +$245 | +$145 | +$38 |
| $53 (+15%) | +$458 | +$379 | +$289 | +$213 |
| $55 (+20%) | +$638 | +$566 | +$491 | +$442 |
Uses QTWO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.