Target Price Playground
QUBT
$7.06
๐ข
QUBT IV: 84.7% โ LOW
(-28.0% vs 30d avg of 117.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $8 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $7 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.03 ยท ฮ 0.59
SHORT CALL ยท $8 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.83 ยท ฮ 0.51
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QUBT hits $8 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$30 (145.6%) on $20 risked, vs +$94 (13.3%) for 100 shares on $706. Options give 10.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QUBT is at $8. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QUBT hits $8 by Jun 19
+$30
+145.6% on $20 risked
Max Profit
+$30
If the stock โฅ $8 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$20
Net debit
Break-even
$7.20
+2.03% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
7.82 / 0.01 / -0.03
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QUBT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $6 (-20%) | -$10 | -$12 | -$15 | -$20 |
| $6 (-15%) | -$8 | -$9 | -$12 | -$20 |
| $6 (-10%) | -$5 | -$6 | -$8 | -$20 |
| $7 (-5%) | -$2 | -$3 | -$4 | -$20 |
| $7 (-2%) | -$1 | -$1 | -$1 | -$20 |
| $7 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$1 | +$1 | -$14 |
| $7 (+2%) | +$1 | +$2 | +$3 | +$0 |
| $7 (+5%) | +$3 | +$4 | +$5 | +$21 |
| $8 (+10%) | +$6 | +$7 | +$10 | +$30 |
| $8 (+13%) โ target | +$7 | +$9 | +$13 | +$30 |
| $8 (+15%) | +$8 | +$10 | +$14 | +$30 |
| $8 (+20%) | +$11 | +$13 | +$17 | +$30 |
Uses QUBT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.