Target Price Playground
QUBT
$7.06
๐ข
QUBT IV: 84.7% โ LOW
(-28.0% vs 30d avg of 117.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $8 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
SHORT PUT ยท $7 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.66 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Cash-Secured Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QUBT hits $8 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$66 (11.3%) on $-66 credit (max loss $584), vs +$44 (6.2%) for 100 shares on $706. Options give 1.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QUBT is at $8. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QUBT hits $8 by Jun 19
+$66
+11.3% on $584 max loss
Max Profit
+$66
If the stock โฅ $6 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$584
If stock โ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$5.84
-17.28% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
86%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
33.18 / 0.63 / -1.1
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QUBT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $6 (-20%) | -$63 | -$51 | -$36 | -$19 |
| $6 (-15%) | -$44 | -$30 | -$12 | +$16 |
| $6 (-10%) | -$28 | -$13 | +$7 | +$51 |
| $7 (-5%) | -$13 | +$3 | +$23 | +$66 |
| $7 (-2%) | -$5 | +$11 | +$31 | +$66 |
| $7 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$15 | +$35 | +$66 |
| $7 (+2%) | +$5 | +$20 | +$39 | +$66 |
| $7 (+5%) | +$11 | +$26 | +$44 | +$66 |
| $8 (+6%) โ target | +$13 | +$28 | +$46 | +$66 |
| $8 (+10%) | +$20 | +$34 | +$51 | +$66 |
| $8 (+15%) | +$28 | +$41 | +$56 | +$66 |
| $8 (+20%) | +$34 | +$47 | +$59 | +$66 |
Uses QUBT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.