Target Price Playground
QUBT
$7.06
๐ข
QUBT IV: 82.9% โ LOW
(-29.6% vs 30d avg of 117.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $8 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $7.06 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $8 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.83 ยท ฮ 0.51
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QUBT hits $8 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$127 (20.3%) on $623 risked, vs +$44 (6.2%) for 100 shares on $706. Options give 3.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QUBT is at $8. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QUBT hits $8 by Jun 19
+$127
+20.3% on $623 risked
Max Profit
+$127
If the stock โฅ $8 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$623
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$6.23
-11.7% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
86%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
49.01 / 0.77 / -1.21
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QUBT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $6 (-20%) | -$86 | -$74 | -$63 | -$58 |
| $6 (-15%) | -$61 | -$47 | -$33 | -$23 |
| $6 (-10%) | -$39 | -$23 | -$5 | +$12 |
| $7 (-5%) | -$18 | -$1 | +$21 | +$48 |
| $7 (-2%) | -$7 | +$11 | +$34 | +$69 |
| $7 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$19 | +$42 | +$83 |
| $7 (+2%) | +$7 | +$26 | +$50 | +$97 |
| $7 (+5%) | +$17 | +$36 | +$61 | +$118 |
| $8 (+6%) โ target | +$20 | +$40 | +$65 | +$127 |
| $8 (+10%) | +$31 | +$51 | +$76 | +$127 |
| $8 (+15%) | +$44 | +$64 | +$88 | +$127 |
| $8 (+20%) | +$55 | +$74 | +$98 | +$127 |
Uses QUBT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.