Target Price Playground
QUBT
$7.06
๐ข
QUBT IV: 84.7% โ LOW
(-28.0% vs 30d avg of 117.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $7 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $7 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.1 ยท ฮ -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $7 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.66 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QUBT hits $7 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$43 (98.7%) on $44 risked, vs $-56 (-7.9%) for 100 shares on $706. Options give 12.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QUBT is at $7. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QUBT hits $7 by Jun 19
+$43
+98.7% on $44 risked
Max Profit
+$43
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$34
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$7.45
+5.54% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
82%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-7.56 / 0.06 / 0.3
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QUBT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $6 (-20%) | +$5 | +$8 | +$13 | +$17 |
| $6 (-15%) | +$4 | +$7 | +$13 | +$26 |
| $6 (-10%) | +$2 | +$5 | +$11 | +$37 |
| $7 (-8%) โ target | +$2 | +$5 | +$10 | +$43 |
| $7 (-5%) | +$0 | +$3 | +$8 | +$32 |
| $7 (-2%) | -$1 | +$2 | +$6 | +$21 |
| $7 (0%) โ spot | -$2 | +$0 | +$5 | +$15 |
| $7 (+2%) | -$3 | -$1 | +$3 | +$9 |
| $7 (+5%) | -$4 | -$3 | +$0 | +$1 |
| $8 (+10%) | -$7 | -$6 | -$5 | -$10 |
| $8 (+15%) | -$10 | -$9 | -$10 | -$19 |
| $8 (+20%) | -$12 | -$13 | -$14 | -$25 |
Uses QUBT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.