Target Price Playground
QUBT
$7.06
๐ข
QUBT IV: 84.7% โ LOW
(-28.0% vs 30d avg of 117.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $8 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $7.06 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $7 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.66 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QUBT hits $8 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$28 (3.6%) on $772 risked, vs +$94 (13.3%) for 100 shares on $706. Options give 0.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QUBT is at $8. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QUBT hits $8 by Jun 19
+$28
+3.6% on $772 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$122
Put floors you at $6
Break-even
$7.72
+9.34% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
66.82 / -0.63 / 1.1
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QUBT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $6 (-20%) | -$78 | -$90 | -$105 | -$122 |
| $6 (-15%) | -$62 | -$76 | -$94 | -$122 |
| $6 (-10%) | -$43 | -$58 | -$78 | -$122 |
| $7 (-5%) | -$22 | -$38 | -$58 | -$101 |
| $7 (-2%) | -$9 | -$25 | -$45 | -$80 |
| $7 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$15 | -$35 | -$66 |
| $7 (+2%) | +$9 | -$6 | -$25 | -$52 |
| $7 (+5%) | +$24 | +$9 | -$9 | -$31 |
| $8 (+10%) | +$51 | +$37 | +$20 | +$5 |
| $8 (+13%) โ target | +$69 | +$55 | +$40 | +$28 |
| $8 (+15%) | +$78 | +$65 | +$50 | +$40 |
| $8 (+20%) | +$107 | +$94 | +$82 | +$75 |
Uses QUBT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.